Recently on the television game show Jeopardy the IBM computer Watson defeated two of the best Jeopardy contestants from the past. This has some important implications for Florida and the rest of the world.
I read some comments about this event. I spoke to several of my friends about this as well. One common assumption was that Watson was, in effect, cheating by being hooked to the Internet and to Google. Watson was not hooked to anything. Another common reaction was the total lack of surprise that Watson won. The assumption was that computers could have done this for some time now. This was also not true.
A television show about trivia is really not that important. An advertisement for IBM computers is also not all that important either. The implications of Watson have less to do with Jeopardy and IBM than it does with computers in general and skilled workers in the near future.
There is an unemployment problem in Florida and across the world. A factor in this is the rise of technology and automation. Another factor in the unemployment issue is economic down turn due to the banking crisis a couple of years ago. Another factor yet is the concentration of wealth across the world into fewer and fewer hands. The concentration of wealth and the banking crisis could not have occurred without computers and networks, cell phones and fax machines and all that goes with them.
The computer Watson has cousins and uncle’s already at work. Watson will have brothers and grandchildren that will soon be in the world at large, acting as financial harvesting machines. As the harvest machine in agriculture reduced the work force from 70% down to 3%, the financial commodities trader type of computer will eliminate vast numbers of workers in the financial industry. These are well paid people who will soon be unnecessary.
The Jacksonville Florida area where I live has a fair amount of financial and insurance industries and office work that will be directly affected by these developments. This is not something on television. Watson’s relatives will not be standalone devices on TV game shows. Watson’s relatives will be hooked to all the networks by the owners who can afford machines like Watson.
Watson and technology are not the problem that we face. The problems that will occur to people will come from the people who own Watson and his relatives. On the other end of all the wires are just people. Whoever can afford to put the power of the network and machines like Watson to their own benefit have choices to make. They have political, moral and economic choices to make; this has nothing to do with the machinery.
There are a set of assumptions going on at the controlling level that there are no real choices to make. The assumption is the choices have been made. For the Watson type of computer as a commodities or stock trading machine…. the idea is to take all the wealth and money in the world. It is looking at the human population as if it were a forest to be clear cut down to the soil.
Local high schools are pitching the idea that students are in a global economic competition with other students and other nations. That becomes less true as the economic competition becomes one against machines. It reduces the opportunities available for local high school students in Florida or anywhere.
It is something to consider for Florida’s economic future.
The accomplishment of Watson should be a general cause for celebration and enjoyment. Watson put to use in a moderate and intelligent way to reduce effort and create efficiency can be a benefit to all of us. But Watson can’t make that choice. Choice is for people. Someday maybe Wastons kids may make a choice but for now people are deciding everything. Maybe future Watson would not want to go on Jeopardy but that was not in his power to determine today.
A member of the Watson team was asked “could it be used to abuse, to game the stock market”? The fellow answered “that anything can be abused even a chair”. Now this is a dangerous irresponsible non- answer. To compare Watson to the effect of a chair is insulting. No chair is going to have the effect of the worlds most powerful computer hooked to the financial system.
This is why exactly that Watson is currently more a problem than of benefit. It is the people in control of Watson that are the problem. No?